Using Modeling To Predict And Prevent Victimization
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Author |
: Ken Pease |
Publisher |
: Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages |
: 85 |
Release |
: 2014-01-09 |
ISBN-10 |
: 9783319031859 |
ISBN-13 |
: 3319031856 |
Rating |
: 4/5 (59 Downloads) |
Synopsis Using Modeling to Predict and Prevent Victimization by : Ken Pease
This work provides clear application of a new statistical modeling technique that can be used to recognize patterns in victimization and prevent repeat victimization. The history of crime prevention techniques range from offender-based, to environment/situation-based, to victim-based. The authors of this work have found more accurate ways to predict and prevent victimization using a statistical modeling, based around crime concentration and sub-group profiling with regard to crime vulnerability levels, to predict areas and individuals vulnerable to crime. Following from this prediction, they propose policing strategies to improve crime prevention based on these predictions. With a combination of immediate actions and longer-term research recommendations, this work will be of interest to researchers and policy makers in focused on crime prevention, police studies, victimology and statistical applications.
Author |
: Sara B. Heller |
Publisher |
: |
Total Pages |
: 0 |
Release |
: 2022 |
ISBN-10 |
: OCLC:1334325240 |
ISBN-13 |
: |
Rating |
: 4/5 (40 Downloads) |
Synopsis Machine Learning Can Predict Shooting Victimization Well Enough to Help Prevent It by : Sara B. Heller
This paper shows that shootings are predictable enough to be preventable. Using arrest and victimization records for almost 644,000 people from the Chicago Police Department, we train a machine learning model to predict the risk of being shot in the next 18 months. We address central concerns about police data and algorithmic bias by predicting shooting victimization rather than arrest, which we show accurately captures risk differences across demographic groups despite bias in the predictors. Out-of-sample accuracy is strikingly high: of the 500 people with the highest predicted risk, 13 percent are shot within 18 months, a rate 130 times higher than the average Chicagoan. Although Black male victims more often have enough police contact to generate predictions, those predictions are not, on average, inflated; the demographic composition of predicted and actual shooting victims is almost identical. There are legal, ethical, and practical barriers to using these predictions to target law enforcement. But using them to target social services could have enormous preventive benefits: predictive accuracy among the top 500 people justifies spending up to $123,500 per person for an intervention that could cut their risk of being shot in half.
Author |
: Joel M. Caplan |
Publisher |
: Univ of California Press |
Total Pages |
: 171 |
Release |
: 2016-06-28 |
ISBN-10 |
: 9780520958807 |
ISBN-13 |
: 0520958802 |
Rating |
: 4/5 (07 Downloads) |
Synopsis Risk Terrain Modeling by : Joel M. Caplan
Imagine using an evidence-based risk management model that enables researchers and practitioners alike to analyze the spatial dynamics of crime, allocate resources, and implement custom crime and risk reduction strategies that are transparent, measurable, and effective. Risk Terrain Modeling (RTM) diagnoses the spatial attractors of criminal behavior and makes accurate forecasts of where crime will occur at the microlevel. RTM informs decisions about how the combined factors that contribute to criminal behavior can be targeted, connections to crime can be monitored, spatial vulnerabilities can be assessed, and actions can be taken to reduce worst effects. As a diagnostic method, RTM offers a statistically valid way to identify vulnerable places. To learn more, visit http://www.riskterrainmodeling.com and begin using RTM with the many free tutorials and resources.
Author |
: Nick Tilley |
Publisher |
: Taylor & Francis |
Total Pages |
: 627 |
Release |
: 2017-03-27 |
ISBN-10 |
: 9781317530824 |
ISBN-13 |
: 1317530829 |
Rating |
: 4/5 (24 Downloads) |
Synopsis Handbook of Crime Prevention and Community Safety by : Nick Tilley
This second edition of the Handbook of Crime Prevention and Community Safety provides a completely revised and updated collection of essays focusing on the theory and practice of crime prevention and the creation of safer communities. This book is divided into five comprehensive parts: Part I, brand new to this edition, is concerned with theoretical perspectives on crime prevention and community safety. Part II considers general approaches to preventing crime, including a new chapter on the theory and practice of deterrence. Part III focuses on specific crime prevention strategies, including a new chapter on regulation for crime prevention. Part IV focuses on the prevention of specific categories of crime and the fear they generate, including new chapters on organised crime and cybercrime. Part V considers the preventative process: the methods through which presenting problems can be analysed, responses formulated and implemented, and their effectiveness evaluated. Bringing together leading academics and practitioners from the UK, US, Australia and the Netherlands, this volume will be an invaluable reference for researchers and practitioners whose work relates to crime prevention and community safety, as well as for undergraduate and postgraduate courses in crime prevention.
Author |
: John McDaniel |
Publisher |
: Routledge |
Total Pages |
: 452 |
Release |
: 2021-02-25 |
ISBN-10 |
: 9780429560385 |
ISBN-13 |
: 0429560389 |
Rating |
: 4/5 (85 Downloads) |
Synopsis Predictive Policing and Artificial Intelligence by : John McDaniel
This edited text draws together the insights of numerous worldwide eminent academics to evaluate the condition of predictive policing and artificial intelligence (AI) as interlocked policy areas. Predictive and AI technologies are growing in prominence and at an unprecedented rate. Powerful digital crime mapping tools are being used to identify crime hotspots in real-time, as pattern-matching and search algorithms are sorting through huge police databases populated by growing volumes of data in an eff ort to identify people liable to experience (or commit) crime, places likely to host it, and variables associated with its solvability. Facial and vehicle recognition cameras are locating criminals as they move, while police services develop strategies informed by machine learning and other kinds of predictive analytics. Many of these innovations are features of modern policing in the UK, the US and Australia, among other jurisdictions. AI promises to reduce unnecessary labour, speed up various forms of police work, encourage police forces to more efficiently apportion their resources, and enable police officers to prevent crime and protect people from a variety of future harms. However, the promises of predictive and AI technologies and innovations do not always match reality. They often have significant weaknesses, come at a considerable cost and require challenging trade- off s to be made. Focusing on the UK, the US and Australia, this book explores themes of choice architecture, decision- making, human rights, accountability and the rule of law, as well as future uses of AI and predictive technologies in various policing contexts. The text contributes to ongoing debates on the benefits and biases of predictive algorithms, big data sets, machine learning systems, and broader policing strategies and challenges. Written in a clear and direct style, this book will appeal to students and scholars of policing, criminology, crime science, sociology, computer science, cognitive psychology and all those interested in the emergence of AI as a feature of contemporary policing.
Author |
: Michael S. Spencer |
Publisher |
: Routledge |
Total Pages |
: 327 |
Release |
: 2020-09-10 |
ISBN-10 |
: 9780429863998 |
ISBN-13 |
: 0429863993 |
Rating |
: 4/5 (98 Downloads) |
Synopsis Microaggressions and Social Work Research, Practice and Education by : Michael S. Spencer
While blatant forms of racism and discrimination have largely been condemned in our society, systematic oppression and racism can be manifested in a less obvious form, as ‘microaggressions’. The term, originally developed in the 1970s by Chester Peirce to describe the ways in which Black people were "put down" by their White counterparts, has since been expanded to describe both conscious and unconscious acts that reflect superiority, hostility, and racially inflicted insults and demeanors to marginalized groups of people. This book provides a platform for social work researchers, scholars, and practitioners to present their research, ideas, and practices pertaining to ways in which microaggressions and other subtle, but lethal forms of discrimination impact marginalized populations within social work and human services. Contributors discuss the impact of microaggressions in social work as they relate to race; gender and gender expression; sexual orientation; class; and spirituality. The book also examines curriculum, pedagogy, and the academic climate as targets for intervention in social work education. This book was originally published as a series of special issues of the Journal of Ethnic and Cultural Diversity in Social Work.
Author |
: Thomas W. Miller |
Publisher |
: Springer Nature |
Total Pages |
: 734 |
Release |
: 2023-01-01 |
ISBN-10 |
: 9783031131349 |
ISBN-13 |
: 3031131347 |
Rating |
: 4/5 (49 Downloads) |
Synopsis School Violence and Primary Prevention by : Thomas W. Miller
This important new work covers clinical issues in treating victims of school violence and assessing children with the potential for violence. The editor also examines the effectiveness of prevention intervention programs and offers larger policy recommendations. The book looks at environmental factors such as cultural issues on behaviors from bullying to mass school shootings. And uniquely, the book delves into topics such as sexual boundaries and body image. In all, this book aims for a theoretical and applied picture of the current state of school violence and prevention.
Author |
: Michael E. Hilton |
Publisher |
: |
Total Pages |
: 256 |
Release |
: 1993 |
ISBN-10 |
: UCBK:C069456034 |
ISBN-13 |
: |
Rating |
: 4/5 (34 Downloads) |
Synopsis Economics and the Prevention of Alcohol-related Problems by : Michael E. Hilton
Author |
: Graham Farrell |
Publisher |
: |
Total Pages |
: 266 |
Release |
: 2001 |
ISBN-10 |
: STANFORD:36105060996548 |
ISBN-13 |
: |
Rating |
: 4/5 (48 Downloads) |
Synopsis Repeat Victimization by : Graham Farrell
This anthology contains 12 original papers analyzing the latest worldwide findings on repeat victimization and exploring their implications for prevention policy. Contributors present a cross- national comparison of rates of repeat victimization, and discuss attitudes of repeat victims toward the police, repeat burglary victimization in Europe and Australia, personal fraud scams and victims, repeat bank robbery, offender targeting, and implications for crime control policy. There is no subject index. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR
Author |
: Xochitl Bada |
Publisher |
: Oxford University Press |
Total Pages |
: 896 |
Release |
: 2021-04-09 |
ISBN-10 |
: 9780190926588 |
ISBN-13 |
: 0190926589 |
Rating |
: 4/5 (88 Downloads) |
Synopsis The Oxford Handbook of the Sociology of Latin America by : Xochitl Bada
The sociology of Latin America, established in the region over the past eighty years, is a thriving field whose major contributions include dependence theory, world-systems theory, and historical debates on economic development, among others. The Oxford Handbook of the Sociology of Latin America provides research essays that introduce the readers to the discipline's key areas and current trends, specifically with regard to contemporary sociology in Latin America, as well as a collection of innovative empirical studies deploying a variety of qualitative and quantitative methodologies. The essays in the Handbook are arranged in eight research subfields in which scholars are currently making significant theoretical and methodological contributions: Sociology of the State, Social Inequalities, Sociology of Religion, Collective Action and Social Movements, Sociology of Migration, Sociology of Gender, Medical Sociology, and Sociology of Violence and Insecurity. Due to the deterioration of social and economic conditions, as well as recent disruptions to an already tense political environment, these have become some of the most productive and important fields in Latin American sociology. This roiling sociopolitical atmosphere also generates new and innovative expressions of protest and survival, which are being explored by sociologists across different continents today. The essays included in this collection offer a map to and a thematic articulation of central sociological debates that make it a critical resource for those scholars and students eager to understand contemporary sociology in Latin America.