Analyzes likely patterns of distribution & persistence of northern spotted owls on the Olympic Peninsula. Focuses on the effects of Federal habitat under provisions of the Northwest Forest Plan; additional benefits to the owl populations of different levels of habitat retention on non-Federal lands; effect of establishing a habitat connection between the Olympic Peninsula & other parts of the owl's range; the likely rate of habitat re-growth in the National Forest & its effect on the owl population; & the likely effect of a worst-case fire. A spatially explicit population model for northern spotted owls was used for the analysis. Reviews current information on demographics & likely owl population numbers on the Olympic Peninsula. Illustrations.