Patterns of Foreign Exchange Intervention under Inflation Targeting

Patterns of Foreign Exchange Intervention under Inflation Targeting
Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Total Pages : 29
Release :
ISBN-10 : 9781513536453
ISBN-13 : 1513536451
Rating : 4/5 (53 Downloads)

Synopsis Patterns of Foreign Exchange Intervention under Inflation Targeting by : Gustavo Adler

The paper documents the use of foreign exchange intervention (FXI) across countries and monetary regimes, with special attention to its use under inflation targeting (IT). We find significant differences between advanced and emerging market economies, with the former group conducting FXI limitedly and broadly symmetrically, while the use of this policy instrument in emerging market countries is pervasive and mostly asymmetric (biased towards purchasing foreign currency, even after taking into account precautionary motives). Within emerging markets, the use of FXI is common both under IT and non-IT regimes. We find no evidence of FXI being used in response to inflation developments, while there is strong evidence that FXI responds to exchange rates, indicating that IT central banks in EMDEs have dual inflation/exchange rate objectives. We also find a higher propensity to overshoot inflation targets in emerging market economies where FXI is more pervasive.

Foreign Exchange Intervention as a Monetary Policy Instrument

Foreign Exchange Intervention as a Monetary Policy Instrument
Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages : 180
Release :
ISBN-10 : 9783790826722
ISBN-13 : 3790826723
Rating : 4/5 (22 Downloads)

Synopsis Foreign Exchange Intervention as a Monetary Policy Instrument by : Felix Hüfner

Foreign exchange intervention is frequently being used by central banks in countries which have a floating exchange rate. Most theoretical monetary policy models, however, do not take this phenomenon into account. This book contributes to close this gap between theory and practice by interpreting foreign exchange intervention as an additional monetary policy instrument for inflation targeting central banks. In-depth empirical analyses of the foreign exchange operations and interest rate policy of five inflation targeting countries (Australia, Canada, New Zealand, Sweden and the United Kingdom) demonstrate how foreign exchange intervention is used in practice.

Is There Room for Foreign Exchange Interventions Under an Inflation Targeting Framework? Evidence from Mexico and Turkey

Is There Room for Foreign Exchange Interventions Under an Inflation Targeting Framework? Evidence from Mexico and Turkey
Author :
Publisher :
Total Pages :
Release :
ISBN-10 : OCLC:931678497
ISBN-13 :
Rating : 4/5 (97 Downloads)

Synopsis Is There Room for Foreign Exchange Interventions Under an Inflation Targeting Framework? Evidence from Mexico and Turkey by : Ilker Doma??

The salient characteristics of emerging market economies coupled with the increasing adoption of inflation targeting in these countries has stimulated much debate about the role of the exchange rate in inflation targeting regimes. The authors aim at shedding more light on this issue by investigating whether central bank foreign exchange interventions have had any impact on the volatility of the exchange rate in Mexico and Turkey since the adoption of the floating regime. To this end, their study, using daily data on foreign exchange intervention, employs an Exponential GARCH framework. Empirical results suggest that both the amount and frequency of foreign exchange interventions have decreased the volatility of the exchange rates in these countries. The authors' findings corroborate the notion that if foreign exchange interventions are carried out with finesse and sensibly-that is, not to defend a particular exchange rate-they could play a useful role in containing the adverse effects of temporary exchange rate shocks on inflation and financial stability.

Is There Room for Foreign Exchange Interventions Under an Inflation Targeting Framework? Evidence from Mexico and Turkey

Is There Room for Foreign Exchange Interventions Under an Inflation Targeting Framework? Evidence from Mexico and Turkey
Author :
Publisher :
Total Pages : 33
Release :
ISBN-10 : OCLC:1290705982
ISBN-13 :
Rating : 4/5 (82 Downloads)

Synopsis Is There Room for Foreign Exchange Interventions Under an Inflation Targeting Framework? Evidence from Mexico and Turkey by : Ilker Domac

The salient characteristics of emerging market economies coupled with the increasing adoption of inflation targeting in these countries has stimulated much debate about the role of the exchange rate in inflation targeting regimes. Domac and Mendoza aim at shedding more light on this issue by investigating whether central bank foreign exchange interventions have had any impact on the volatility of the exchange rate in Mexico and Turkey since the adoption of the floating regime. To this end, their study, using daily data on foreign exchange intervention, employs an Exponential GARCH framework. Empirical results suggest that both the amount and frequency of foreign exchange interventions have decreased the volatility of the exchange rates in these countries. The authors' findings corroborate the notion that if foreign exchange interventions are carried out with finesse and sensibly - that is, not to defend a particular exchange rate - they could play a useful role in containing the adverse effects of temporary exchange rate shocks on inflation and financial stability.This paper - a product of the Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Sector Unit, Europe and Central Asia Region - is part of a larger effort in the region to enhance the knowledge on the effectiveness of central bank foreign exchange interventions.

Foreign Exchange Intervention under Policy Uncertainty

Foreign Exchange Intervention under Policy Uncertainty
Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Total Pages : 40
Release :
ISBN-10 : 9781475547238
ISBN-13 : 1475547234
Rating : 4/5 (38 Downloads)

Synopsis Foreign Exchange Intervention under Policy Uncertainty by : Gustavo Adler

We study the use of foreign exchange (FX) intervention as an additional policy instrument in an environment with learning, where agents infer the central bank policy rules from its policy actions. Under full information, a central bank focused on stabilizing output and inflation can achieve better outcomes by using FX intervention as an additional policy tool. Under policy uncertainty, where agents perceive that monetary policy may also have exchange rate stabilization goals, the use of FX intervention entails a trade-off, reducing output volatility while increasing inflation volatility. While having an additional policy tool is always beneficial, we find that the optimal magnitude of intervention is higher in monetary policy regimes with lower uncertainty. These results indicate that the benefits of using FX intervention as an additional stabilization tool are greater in regimes where monetary policy is credibly focused on output and inflation stabilization.

The Role of the Exchange Rate in Inflation

The Role of the Exchange Rate in Inflation
Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Total Pages : 106
Release :
ISBN-10 : 9781451982954
ISBN-13 : 145198295X
Rating : 4/5 (54 Downloads)

Synopsis The Role of the Exchange Rate in Inflation by : Anna Nordstrom

This paper explores the role of exchange rates in emerging economies with inflation-targeting regimes, an issue that has become especially germane during the current episode of financial turmoil and volatile capital flows. Under inflation targeting, the interest rate is the main monetary policy tool for influencing activity and inflation, and there is little agreement about the appropriate role of the exchange rate.The exchange rate is a more important monetary policy tool for emerging economies that have adopted inflation targeting than it is for inflation-targeting advanced economies. Inflation-targeting emerging economies generally have less flexible exchange rate arrangements and intervene more frequently in the foreign exchange market than their advanced economy counterparts. The enhanced role of the exchange rate reflects these economies' greater vulnerability to exchange rate shocks and their less developed financial markets. However, their sharper focus on the exchange rate may cause some confusion about the commitment of their central banks to achieve the inflation target and may also complicate policy implementation. Global inflation pressures, greater exchange rate volatility, and the financial stresses from the global financial turmoil that began in mid-2007 are heightening these tensions.

The Empirics of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Markets

The Empirics of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Markets
Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Total Pages : 34
Release :
ISBN-10 : 9781451854640
ISBN-13 : 1451854641
Rating : 4/5 (40 Downloads)

Synopsis The Empirics of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Markets by : Roberto Pereira Guimarães

This paper analyzes the effects of intervention on the level and volatility of the exchange rate in Mexico and Turkey, two emerging countries that have floating exchange rate regimes. The paper finds mixed evidence on the effectiveness of intervention. In Mexico, foreign exchange sales have a small impact on the exchange rate level and raise short-term volatility, while in Turkey, intervention does not appear to affect the exchange rate level but reduces its shortterm volatility. In both cases, the findings are consistent with officially stated policy objectives, which aim to minimize the effect of intervention on the exchange rate, but cast doubt on claims that intervention is a useful tool for smoothing volatility. Although these findings cannot be generalized to other emerging markets, intervention's apparently limited effectiveness highlights the need for central banks to use their scarce foreign reserves selectively and parsimoniously.