Offers an alternative technique in forecasting to the traditional techniques used in trading and dealing. The book explains the shortcomings of traditional techniques and shows how neural networks overcome many of the disadvantages of these traditional systems.

This volume looks at financial prediction from a broad range of perspectives. It covers: - the economic arguments - the practicalities of the markets - how predictions are used - how predictions are made - how predictions are turned into something usable (asset locations) It combines a discussion of standard theory with state-of-the-art material on a wide range of information processing techniques as applied to cutting-edge financial problems. All the techniques are demonstrated with real examples using actual market data, and show that it is possible to extract information from very noisy, sparse data sets. Aimed primarily at researchers in financial prediction, time series analysis and information processing, this book will also be of interest to quantitative fund managers and other professionals involved in financial prediction.

This book explores the intuitive appeal of neural networks and the genetic algorithm in finance. It demonstrates how neural networks used in combination with evolutionary computation outperform classical econometric methods for accuracy in forecasting, classification and dimensionality reduction. McNelis utilizes a variety of examples, from forecasting automobile production and corporate bond spread, to inflation and deflation processes in Hong Kong and Japan, to credit card default in Germany to bank failures in Texas, to cap-floor volatilities in New York and Hong Kong. * Offers a balanced, critical review of the neural network methods and genetic algorithms used in finance * Includes numerous examples and applications * Numerical illustrations use MATLAB code and the book is accompanied by a website

As technology advancement has increased, so to have computational applications for forecasting, modelling and trading financial markets and information, and practitioners are finding ever more complex solutions to financial challenges. Neural networking is a highly effective, trainable algorithmic approach which emulates certain aspects of human brain functions, and is used extensively in financial forecasting allowing for quick investment decision making. This book presents the most cutting-edge artificial intelligence (AI)/neural networking applications for markets, assets and other areas of finance. Split into four sections, the book first explores time series analysis for forecasting and trading across a range of assets, including derivatives, exchange traded funds, debt and equity instruments. This section will focus on pattern recognition, market timing models, forecasting and trading of financial time series. Section II provides insights into macro and microeconomics and how AI techniques could be used to better understand and predict economic variables. Section III focuses on corporate finance and credit analysis providing an insight into corporate structures and credit, and establishing a relationship between financial statement analysis and the influence of various financial scenarios. Section IV focuses on portfolio management, exploring applications for portfolio theory, asset allocation and optimization. This book also provides some of the latest research in the field of artificial intelligence and finance, and provides in-depth analysis and highly applicable tools and techniques for practitioners and researchers in this field.

This book explores the intuitive appeal of neural networks and the genetic algorithm in finance. It demonstrates how neural networks used in combination with evolutionary computation outperform classical econometric methods for accuracy in forecasting, classification and dimensionality reduction. McNelis utilizes a variety of examples, from forecasting automobile production and corporate bond spread, to inflation and deflation processes in Hong Kong and Japan, to credit card default in Germany to bank failures in Texas, to cap-floor volatilities in New York and Hong Kong.* Offers a balanced, critical review of the neural network methods and genetic algorithms used in finance * Includes numerous examples and applications * Numerical illustrations use MATLAB code and the book is accompanied by a website

Although there exists some studies which deal with the issues of forecasting stock market index and development of trading strategies, most of the empirical findings are associated with the developed financial markets (e.g., U.S., U.K., and Japan). Currently, many international investment bankers and brokerage firms have major stakes in overseas markets. Given the economic success of Taiwan in the last two decades, the financial markets in this Asian country have attracted considerable global investments. Our study models and predicts the TSE Index using neural networks. Their performance is compared with that of parametric forecasting approaches, namely the Generalized Methods of Moments (GMM) and random walk. These rapidly growing financial markets are usually characterized by high volatility, relatively smaller capitalization, and less price efficiency, features which may hinder the effectiveness of those forecasting models developed for established markets. The good performance of the PNN suggests that the neural network models are useful in predicting the direction of index returns. Furthermore, PNN has demonstrated a stronger predictive power than both the GMM-Kalman filter and the random walk forecasting models. This superiority is partially attributed to PNN's ability to identify outliers and erroneous data. Compared to the other two parametric techniques examined in this study, PNN does not require any assumption of the underlying probability density functions of the class populations. The trading experiment shows that the PNN-guided trading strategies obtain higher profits than the other investment strategies utilizing the market direction generated by the parametric forecasting methods. In addition, the PNN-guided trading with multiple triggering thresholds is generally better than the one with single triggering thresholds. The multiple threshold version is able to consider the degree of certainty of a particular PNN classification and thereby reduce potential loss in the market.

Computational intelligence, a sub-branch of artificial intelligence, is a field which draws on the natural world and adaptive mechanisms in order to study behaviour in changing complex environments. This book provides an interdisciplinary view of current technological advances and challenges concerning the application of computational intelligence techniques to financial time-series forecasting, trading and investment. The book is divided into five parts. The first part introduces the most important computational intelligence and financial trading concepts, while also presenting the most important methodologies from these different domains. The second part is devoted to the application of traditional computational intelligence techniques to the fields of financial forecasting and trading, and the third part explores the applications of artificial neural networks in these domains. The fourth part delves into novel evolutionary-based hybrid methodologies for trading and portfolio management, while the fifth part presents the applications of advanced computational intelligence modelling techniques in financial forecasting and trading. This volume will be useful for graduate and postgraduate students of finance, computational finance, financial engineering and computer science. Practitioners, traders and financial analysts will also benefit from this book.

This book is divided into two parts, the first of which describes AI as we know it today, in particular the Fintech-related applications. In turn, the second part explores AI models in financial markets: both regarding applications that are already available (e.g. the blockchain supply chain, learning through big data, understanding natural language, or the valuation of complex bonds) and more futuristic solutions (e.g. models based on artificial agents that interact by buying and selling stocks within simulated worlds). The effects of the COVID-19 pandemic are starting to show their financial effects: more companies in a liquidity crisis; more unstable debt positions; and more loans from international institutions for states and large companies. At the same time, we are witnessing a growth of AI technologies in all fields, from the production of goods and services, to the management of socio-economic infrastructures: in medicine, communications, education, and security. The question then becomes: could we imagine integrating AI technologies into the financial markets, in order to improve their performance? And not just limited to using AI to improve performance in high-frequency trading or in the study of trends. Could we imagine AI technologies that make financial markets safer, more stable, and more comprehensible? The book explores these questions, pursuing an approach closely linked to real-world applications. The book is intended for three main categories of readers: (1) management-level employees of companies operating in the financial markets, banks, insurance operators, portfolio managers, brokers, risk assessors, investment managers, and debt managers; (2) policymakers and regulators for financial markets, from government technicians to politicians; and (3) readers curious about technology, both for professional and private purposes, as well as those involved in innovation and research in the private and public spheres.

Many believe that neural networks will eventually out-perform even the best traders and investors, yet this extraordinary technology remained largely inaccessible to practitioners--prior to this landmark text. Nowhere else will you find such a thorough and relevant examination of the applications and potential of this cutting-edge technology. This book not only contains many examples of neural networks for prediction and risk assessment, but provides promising systems for forecasting and explaining price movements of stocks and securities. Sections include neural network overview; analysis of financial condition; business failure prediction; debt risk assessment; security market applications; and neural network approaches to financial forecasting.

In plain language, Virtual Trading, shows you how to proceed from data collection to system development to actual trading. For traders who want to stay on the cutting edge of market technology, Virtual Trading is a must read. Featuring contributions from the leading experts in the field, Virtual Trading provides in-depth information on every important aspect of artificial intelligence in trading. Highlights include: Synergistic market analysis using neural networks by Lou Mendelsohn; Developing a market-timing system using genetic algorithms by Casimir Klimasauskas; Neural networkds and stock market valuation by John Keal; Applying chaos theory to a neural network by Joseph Shepard; Developing a trading system that uses Al by Mark Jurik; Neural network techniques for time series analysis by Peter Davies.