This monograph is concerned with the formulation and implementation of ORANI-INT, an intertemporal Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model of the Australian economy. The aim is to bring together, in a balanced approach, theory and data for the purpose of developing a practical state-of-the-art tool for policy analysis. The modelling approach adopted is motivated by the recent trend in economy-wide modelling to combine the respective strengths of traditional CGE models and modern macroeconomic models. Traditional CGE models typically provide a dissagregate representation of the economy at a single point in time. Such models are useful for analysing issues involving the allocation of resources among the various agents identified at a particular point in time. Modern macroeconomic models, on the other hand, usually provide an aggregate representation of the economy over many points in time. Such models are useful for analysing issues involving the allocation of resources across time. A model that combines the strengths of static CGE models and modern macro-dynamic models is amenable to addressing a wide range of policy issues. To demonstrate this point ORANI-INT is used to analyse tariff reform.

This book provides a comprehensive account of the theoretical structures, database, computation and application of ORANI-INT. ORANI-INT is a multi-period elaboration of ORANI, a well-known computable general equilibrium model of the Australian economy. The implications of assuming that expectations are model consistent are contrasted with those of the alternative assumption that expectations are static. A generic algorithm for solving a wide range of economic models is described in detail. The algorithm is portable because it is implemented in GEMPACK, a commercially available software package. The major application reported in the book addresses the issue whether tariff reform policies should be announced ahead of their implementation. Many of the multisectoral models used throughout the world are static. The methodology presented in the book demonstrates that such models can be easily embedded into an intertemporal framework.

The book details the innovative TERM (The Enormous Regional Model) approach to regional and national economic modeling, and explains the conversion from a comparative-static to a dynamic model. It moves on to an adaptation of TERM to water policy, including the additional theoretical and database requirements of the dynamic TERM-H2O model. In particular, it examines the contrasting economic impacts of water buyback policy and recurring droughts in the Murray-Darling Basin. South-east Queensland, where climate uncertainty has been borne out by record-breaking drought and the worst floods in living memory, provides a chapter-length case study. The exploration of the policy background and implications of TERM’s dynamic modeling will provide food for thought in policy making circles worldwide, where there is a pressing need for solutions to similarly intractable problems in water management.

In this collection of 17 articles, top scholars synthesize and analyze scholarship on this widely used tool of policy analysis, setting forth its accomplishments, difficulties, and means of implementation. Though CGE modeling does not play a prominent role in top US graduate schools, it is employed universally in the development of economic policy. This collection is particularly important because it presents a history of modeling applications and examines competing points of view. - Presents coherent summaries of CGE theories that inform major model types - Covers the construction of CGE databases, model solving, and computer-assisted interpretation of results - Shows how CGE modeling has made a contribution to economic policy

Within the broad frame of regional research in an international perspective, the contributions of this volume present new theoretical, methodological and empirical results as well as political strategies for the following topics: - ecomomic integration in the Baltic rim, - innovation and regional growth, - economic integration, trade and migration, - transport infrastructure and the regions. Most of the topics deal with the long-term integration process in Europe, with a particular focus on the North European and Baltic Sea integration.

Essays on Microeconomics and Industrial Organisation aims to serve as a source and work of reference and consultation for the field of Microeconomics in general and of Industrial Organisation in particular. The book consists of four parts: Demand, Production and Costs (Supply), Market and Industrial Structure, and Failures of Market and Industrial Regulation. It combines theoretical concepts and a variety of empirical cases.

In a modern economy, production and competition require internal interaction of individuals in firms. The book provides a systematic treatment of the macroeconomic consequenses of this fact. For this purpose the concept of a two-stage monopolistic competition equilibrium is introduced into macroeconomic theory. Firms choose the capacity to organize internal interaction at stage 1 and compete at stage 2. The concept allows a rigorous analysis of the provision of work places and the economic determinants of the employable work force. The book explains why in the equilibrium of a market economy, even under flexible wages, no jobs may be provided for people who are employable from an efficiency point of view. The economic determinants of equilibrium employment covered by the analysis of the book are: New forms of work organization, changes in the skill structure of the labor force, market power of key factors for organization, expectations of investors and international capital movements.

In this book, time use behavior within households is modeled as the outcome of a bargaining process between family members who bargain over household resource allocation and the intrafamily distribution of welfare. In view of trends such as rising female employment along with falling fertility rates and increasing divorce rates, a strategic aspect of female employment is analyzed in a dynamic family bargaining framework. The division of housework between spouses and the observed leisure differential between women and men are investigated within non-cooperative bargaining settings. The models developed are tested empirically using data from the German Socio-Economic Panel and the German Time Budget Survey.

It took me over five years to write this book. Finishing my research project and thus finishing this book would not have been possible without the help of many friends of mine. Thus, the first thing to do is to say 'Thanks a lot' . This means at first place the Evangelisches Studienwerk Haus Villigst. They gave me a grant for my work, thus laying the important financial grounds of everything I've done. There is such a large number of friends I worked and lived with over the last few years that I cannot possibly mention them all by name, but I'll try, anyway: So, thanks Christiane, Gilbert, Maik, Karl, and everybody else feeling that his or her name should appear in this list. And, of course, thanks Franz Haslinger, for letting me do whatever I wanted to - and for even encouraging me to stick with it. One more thing I'd like to mention: Although this work is based on very heavy use of computer power, it is my special pride to say that not a single penny (i.e. Deutschmark) had to be spent for software in order to do this work. Instead, all that has been done has been done by free software. Thus, I would like to mention some of my most heavily used software tools in order to let you, the reader, know that nowadays you don't depend on big commercial software packages any more.

The book provides a thorough and sophisticated descriptive analysis of business cycles in a historical perspective. The study is based on the latest available time series as well as latest techniques from the frequency domain. A combined univariate and bivariate analysis is conducted on the national as well as supranational (G7- and Euro-Area wide) level. Issues of stability, volatility, and cyclicality are investigated jointly. An extensive analysis of US manufacturing investment series on the fairly disaggregated four-digit level highlights the limits of linear models to capture the sectoral aggregation process. Synchronization is modelled by a mode-locking mechanism of industrial investment cycles induced by informational externalities. The model in its stochastic version is numerically simulated to assess an agreement between model and data.