Deterrence Theory And Chinese Behavior
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Author |
: Abram N. Shulsky |
Publisher |
: Minnesota Historical Society |
Total Pages |
: 224 |
Release |
: 2000 |
ISBN-10 |
: 0833028537 |
ISBN-13 |
: 9780833028532 |
Rating |
: 4/5 (37 Downloads) |
Synopsis Deterrence Theory and Chinese Behavior by : Abram N. Shulsky
This title discusses the future of Sino-US relations in the context of China as a potential rival to the US. It argues that deterrence theory will be more difficult to apply than it was in the US-Soviet Cold War context, and that the key may be non-military means of deterrence.
Author |
: Shu Guang Zhang |
Publisher |
: Cornell University Press |
Total Pages |
: 328 |
Release |
: 2019-06-30 |
ISBN-10 |
: 9781501738135 |
ISBN-13 |
: 1501738135 |
Rating |
: 4/5 (35 Downloads) |
Synopsis Deterrence and Strategic Culture by : Shu Guang Zhang
Does strategic thinking on the question of deterrence vary between cultures? Should practitioners assume a common understanding of deterrence regardless of national and cultural differences? Shu Guang Zhang takes on these questions by exploring Sino-American confrontations between 1949 and 1958. Zhang draws on recently declassified U.S. documents and previously inaccessible Chinese Communist Party records to demonstrate that the Chinese and the Americans had vastly different assessments of each other's intentions, interests, threats, strengths, and policies during this period.
Author |
: Krista Langeland |
Publisher |
: |
Total Pages |
: 70 |
Release |
: 2022-04-30 |
ISBN-10 |
: 197740703X |
ISBN-13 |
: 9781977407030 |
Rating |
: 4/5 (3X Downloads) |
Synopsis Tailoring Deterrence for China in Space by : Krista Langeland
The authors examine the application of classical deterrence theory to the space domain and argue that to build a tailored deterrence strategy for China in space, China's own objectives should be considered.
Author |
: Keith B. Payne |
Publisher |
: University Press of Kentucky |
Total Pages |
: 228 |
Release |
: 2021-03-17 |
ISBN-10 |
: 9780813160238 |
ISBN-13 |
: 0813160235 |
Rating |
: 4/5 (38 Downloads) |
Synopsis The Fallacies of Cold War Deterrence and a New Direction by : Keith B. Payne
In 1938, Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain hoped that a policy of appeasement would satisfy Adolf Hitler's territorial appetite and structured British policy accordingly. This plan was a failure, chiefly because Hitler was not a statesman who would ultimately conform to familiar norms. Chamberlain's policy was doomed because he had greatly misjudged Hitler's basic beliefs and thus his behavior. U.S. Cold War nuclear deterrence policy was similarly based on the confident but questionable assumption that Soviet leaders would be rational by Washington's standards; they would behave reasonably when presented with nuclear threats. The United States assumed that any sane challenger would be deterred from severe provocations because not to do so would be foolish. Keith B. Payne addresses the question of whether this line of reasoning is adequate for the post-Cold War period. By analyzing past situations and a plausible future scenario, a U.S.-Chinese crisis over Taiwan, he proposes that American policymakers move away from the assumption that all our opponents are comfortably predictable by the standards of our own culture. In order to avoid unexpected and possibly disastrous failures of deterrence, he argues, we should closely examine particular opponents' culture and beliefs in order to better anticipate their likely responses to U.S. deterrence threats.
Author |
: Avery Goldstein |
Publisher |
: |
Total Pages |
: 356 |
Release |
: 2000 |
ISBN-10 |
: 0804737363 |
ISBN-13 |
: 9780804737364 |
Rating |
: 4/5 (63 Downloads) |
Synopsis Deterrence and Security in the 21st Century by : Avery Goldstein
Much recent writing about international politics understandably highlights the many changes that have followed from the collapse of the Soviet Union and the end of the Cold War. This book, by contrast, analyzes an important continuity that, the author argues, will characterize international strategic affairs well into the new century: nuclear deterrence will remain at the core of the security policies of the world's great powers and will continue to be an attractive option for many less powerful states worried about adversaries whose capabilities they cannot match. The central role of nuclear deterrence persists despite the advent of a new international system in which serious military threats are no longer obvious, the use of force is judged irrelevant to resolving most international disputes, and states' interests are increasingly defined in economic rather than military terms. Indeed, the author suggests why these changes may increase the appeal of nuclear deterrence in the coming decades. Beginning with a reconsideration of nuclear deterrence theory, the book takes issue with the usual emphasis on the need for invulnerable retaliatory forces and threats that leaders can rationally choose to carry out. The author explains why states, including badly outgunned states, can rely on nuclear deterrent strategies despite the difficulty they may face in deploying invulnerable forces and despite the implausibility of rationally carrying out their threats of retaliation. In the subsequent empirical analysis that examines the security policies of China, Britain, and France and taps recently declassified documents, the author suggests that the misleading standard view of what is oftentermed rational deterrence theory may well reflect the experience, or at least aspirations, of the Cold War superpowers more than the logic of deterrence itself. Case studies assessing the nuclear deterrent policies of China, B
Author |
: Keith B. Payne |
Publisher |
: Routledge |
Total Pages |
: 171 |
Release |
: 2014-06-11 |
ISBN-10 |
: 9781317980292 |
ISBN-13 |
: 1317980298 |
Rating |
: 4/5 (92 Downloads) |
Synopsis Understanding Deterrence by : Keith B. Payne
For decades, the rational actor model served as the preferred guide for U.S. deterrence policy. It has been a convenient and comforting guide because it requires little detailed knowledge of an opponent’s unique decision-making process and yet typically provides confident generalizations about how deterrence works. The model tends to postulate common decision-making parameters across the globe to reach generalizations about how deterrence will function and the types of forces that will be "stabilizing" or "destabilizing." Yet a broad spectrum of unique factors can influence an opponent’s perceptions and his calculations, and these are not easily captured by the rational actor model. The absence of uniformity means there can be very few deterrence generalizations generated by the use of the rational actor model that are applicable to the entire range of opponents. Understanding Deterrence considers how factors such as psychology, history, religion, ideology, geography, political structure, culture, proliferation and geopolitics can shape a leadership’s decision-making process, in ways that are specific and unique to each opponent. Understanding Deterrence demonstrates how using a multidisciplinary approach to deterrence analysis can better identify and assess factors that influence an opponent’s decision-making process. This identification and assessment process can facilitate the tailoring of deterrence strategies to specific purposes and result in a higher likelihood of success than strategies guided by the generalizations about opponent decision-making typically contained in the rational actor model. This book was published as a special issue of Comparative Strategy.
Author |
: Michael S. Chase |
Publisher |
: Rand Corporation |
Total Pages |
: 79 |
Release |
: 2016-04-07 |
ISBN-10 |
: 9780833094179 |
ISBN-13 |
: 0833094173 |
Rating |
: 4/5 (79 Downloads) |
Synopsis China’s Evolving Approach to “Integrated Strategic Deterrence” by : Michael S. Chase
Drawing on Chinese military writings, this report finds that China’s strategic-deterrence concepts are evolving in response to Beijing’s changing assessment of its external security environment and a growing emphasis on protecting its emerging interests in space and cyberspace. China also is rapidly closing what was once a substantial gap between the People’s Liberation Army’s strategic weapons capabilities and its strategic-deterrence concepts.
Author |
: Barry R. Schneider |
Publisher |
: |
Total Pages |
: 466 |
Release |
: 2012 |
ISBN-10 |
: 0974740381 |
ISBN-13 |
: 9780974740386 |
Rating |
: 4/5 (81 Downloads) |
Synopsis Tailored Deterrence by : Barry R. Schneider
Author |
: Erik Gartzke |
Publisher |
: Oxford University Press |
Total Pages |
: 399 |
Release |
: 2019-02-01 |
ISBN-10 |
: 9780190908676 |
ISBN-13 |
: 019090867X |
Rating |
: 4/5 (76 Downloads) |
Synopsis Cross-Domain Deterrence by : Erik Gartzke
The complexity of the twenty-first century threat landscape contrasts markedly with the bilateral nuclear bargaining context envisioned by classical deterrence theory. Nuclear and conventional arsenals continue to develop alongside anti-satellite programs, autonomous robotics or drones, cyber operations, biotechnology, and other innovations barely imagined in the early nuclear age. The concept of cross-domain deterrence (CDD) emerged near the end of the George W. Bush administration as policymakers and commanders confronted emerging threats to vital military systems in space and cyberspace. The Pentagon now recognizes five operational environments or so-called domains (land, sea, air, space, and cyberspace), and CDD poses serious problems in practice. In Cross-Domain Deterrence, Erik Gartzke and Jon R. Lindsay assess the theoretical relevance of CDD for the field of International Relations. As a general concept, CDD posits that how actors choose to deter affects the quality of the deterrence they achieve. Contributors to this volume include senior and junior scholars and national security practitioners. Their chapters probe the analytical utility of CDD by examining how differences across, and combinations of, different military and non-military instruments can affect choices and outcomes in coercive policy in historical and contemporary cases.
Author |
: Allen Suess Whiting |
Publisher |
: Ann Arbor : University of Michigan Press |
Total Pages |
: 348 |
Release |
: 1975 |
ISBN-10 |
: UOM:39015012421999 |
ISBN-13 |
: |
Rating |
: 4/5 (99 Downloads) |
Synopsis The Chinese Calculus of Deterrence by : Allen Suess Whiting
Bog om Kina's politisk-militære adfærd i atomalderen.