Art of Prediction

Art of Prediction
Author :
Publisher : Sagar Publications
Total Pages : 348
Release :
ISBN-10 :
ISBN-13 :
Rating : 4/5 ( Downloads)

Synopsis Art of Prediction by : J.N. Bhasin

Astrology is both a science and an art. It is science in the sense that it is based on the pure science of astronomy and mathematics and an art in the sense that it requires sufficient practice to give adequate results. The mathematical portion of. astrology is comparatively easier, as most of its requirements are already available to us without much labour. Unlike old days, an astrologer is not called upon these days, to work out the longitudes of the heavenly bodies himself, These are easily available in an up-to-date form in modern ephemeris, and only have to be culled out. But the art Portion of astrology requires much time, constant Practice and devoted attention fora correct appraisal of the birth chart.

Superforecasting

Superforecasting
Author :
Publisher : Crown
Total Pages : 331
Release :
ISBN-10 : 9780804136709
ISBN-13 : 080413670X
Rating : 4/5 (09 Downloads)

Synopsis Superforecasting by : Philip E. Tetlock

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST “The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught? In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They’ve beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They’ve even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters." In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn’t require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future—whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life—and is destined to become a modern classic.

The Art of Prediction in Astrology

The Art of Prediction in Astrology
Author :
Publisher : Motilal Banarsidass
Total Pages : 281
Release :
ISBN-10 : 9789390064007
ISBN-13 : 9390064007
Rating : 4/5 (07 Downloads)

Synopsis The Art of Prediction in Astrology by : Gayatri Devi Vasudev

Astrology and interest in it have been growing at a pace that does justice to the subject as a discipline of great consequence in handling the complexities and ills of human life and existence. Authoritative works on astrology abound in Sanskrit and several of them have been translated into English by scholars. These translations are a great boon to the diligent student and carry innumerable combinations and dicta covering almost all aspects of life. However, the difficulty lies in their actual application to horoscopes where the skills of the astrology student are challenged to the limit. The Art of Prediction in Astrology is a simple guide to the techniques of interpretation of the horoscope. This book teaches how to apply and interpret some important planetary combinations and dicta found in classical works to practical cases. This shows further how to analyse and understand: *Yogas for fame and lasting reputation, renunciation, spiritual realization, tyranny and homicidal tendencies. *Difficult concepts such as the difference between Resi and Bhave, Yamaganda and Yamakantaka, the Moon's role in understanding human psychology and behaviours and the nexus between Rahu-Ketu and schizophrenic tendencies. *Eclipses and how they influence the timing of events. *Solar activity and planetary movements in relation to weather, agricultural crops and tsunamis. *Principles of Muhurta and natal horoscopy in making forecasts on the fall and continuance of governments and how Martian movements can trigger terrorist attacks such as that of September 11, 2001. *Simplifies the intricate art of chart delineation with illustrations of important personalities.

Future Babble

Future Babble
Author :
Publisher : McClelland & Stewart
Total Pages : 319
Release :
ISBN-10 : 9780771035210
ISBN-13 : 0771035217
Rating : 4/5 (10 Downloads)

Synopsis Future Babble by : Dan Gardner

In 2008, as the price of oil surged above $140 a barrel, experts said it would soon hit $200; a few months later it plunged to $30. In 1967, they said the USSR would have one of the fastest-growing economies in the year 2000; in 2000, the USSR did not exist. In 1911, it was pronounced that there would be no more wars in Europe; we all know how that turned out. Face it, experts are about as accurate as dart-throwing monkeys. And yet every day we ask them to predict the future — everything from the weather to the likelihood of a catastrophic terrorist attack. Future Babble is the first book to examine this phenomenon, showing why our brains yearn for certainty about the future, why we are attracted to those who predict it confidently, and why it’s so easy for us to ignore the trail of outrageously wrong forecasts. In this fast-paced, example-packed, sometimes darkly hilarious book, journalist Dan Gardner shows how seminal research by UC Berkeley professor Philip Tetlock proved that pundits who are more famous are less accurate — and the average expert is no more accurate than a flipped coin. Gardner also draws on current research in cognitive psychology, political science, and behavioral economics to discover something quite reassuring: The future is always uncertain, but the end is not always near.

The Art of Prediction

The Art of Prediction
Author :
Publisher :
Total Pages :
Release :
ISBN-10 : OCLC:499429951
ISBN-13 :
Rating : 4/5 (51 Downloads)

Synopsis The Art of Prediction by : J. N. Bhasin

Art Of Prediction In Astrology

Art Of Prediction In Astrology
Author :
Publisher :
Total Pages :
Release :
ISBN-10 : 812083707X
ISBN-13 : 9788120837072
Rating : 4/5 (7X Downloads)

Synopsis Art Of Prediction In Astrology by : Gayatri Devi Vasudev

Numerical Simulation, An Art of Prediction, Volume 2

Numerical Simulation, An Art of Prediction, Volume 2
Author :
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages : 374
Release :
ISBN-10 : 9781786304322
ISBN-13 : 1786304325
Rating : 4/5 (22 Downloads)

Synopsis Numerical Simulation, An Art of Prediction, Volume 2 by : Jean-François Sigrist

Numerical simulation is a technique of major importance in various technical and scientific fields. Whilst engineering curricula now include training courses dedicated to it, numerical simulation is still not well-known in some economic sectors, and even less so among the general public. Simulation involves the mathematical modeling of the real world, coupled with the computing power offered by modern technology. Designed to perform virtual experiments, digital simulation can be considered as an "art of prediction". Embellished with a rich iconography and based on the testimony of researchers and engineers, this book shines a light on this little-known art. It is the second of two volumes and gives examples of the uses of numerical simulation in various scientific and technical fields: agriculture, industry, Earth and universe sciences, meteorology and climate studies, energy, biomechanics and human and social sciences.

Numerical Simulation, An Art of Prediction 1

Numerical Simulation, An Art of Prediction 1
Author :
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages : 276
Release :
ISBN-10 : 9781786304315
ISBN-13 : 1786304317
Rating : 4/5 (15 Downloads)

Synopsis Numerical Simulation, An Art of Prediction 1 by : Jean-François Sigrist

Numerical simulation is a technique of major importance in various technical and scientific fields. Used to understand diverse physical phenomena or to design everyday objects, it plays a major role in innovation in the industrial sector. Whilst engineering curricula now include training courses dedicated to it, numerical simulation is still not well-known in some economic sectors, and even less so among the general public. Simulation involves the mathematical modeling of the real world, coupled with the computing power offered by modern technology. Designed to perform virtual experiments, digital simulation can be considered as an "art of prediction". Embellished with a rich iconography and based on the testimony of researchers and engineers, this book shines a light on this little-known art. It is the first of two volumes and focuses on the principles, methods and industrial practice of numerical modeling.

Rock Breaks Scissors

Rock Breaks Scissors
Author :
Publisher : Little, Brown Spark
Total Pages : 266
Release :
ISBN-10 : 9780316228084
ISBN-13 : 0316228087
Rating : 4/5 (84 Downloads)

Synopsis Rock Breaks Scissors by : William Poundstone

A practical guide to outguessing everything, from multiple-choice tests to the office football pool to the stock market. People are predictable even when they try not to be. William Poundstone demonstrates how to turn this fact to personal advantage in scores of everyday situations, from playing the lottery to buying a home. Rock Breaks Scissors is mind-reading for real life. Will the next tennis serve go right or left? Will the market go up or down? Most people are poor at that kind of predicting. We are hard-wired to make bum bets on "trends" and "winning streaks" that are illusions. Yet ultimately we're all in the business of anticipating the actions of others. Poundstone reveals how to overcome the errors and improve the accuracy of your own outguessing. Rock Breaks Scissors is a hands-on guide to turning life's odds in your favor.