Decision Theory And Choices A Complexity Approach
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Author |
: Marisa Faggini |
Publisher |
: Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages |
: 252 |
Release |
: 2010-12-28 |
ISBN-10 |
: 9788847017788 |
ISBN-13 |
: 8847017785 |
Rating |
: 4/5 (88 Downloads) |
Synopsis Decision Theory and Choices: a Complexity Approach by : Marisa Faggini
In economics agents are assumed to choose on the basis of rational calculations aimed at the maximization of their pleasure or profit. Formally, agents are said to manifest transitive and consistent preferences in attempting to maximize their utility in the presence of several constraints. They operate according to the choice imperative: given a set of alternatives, choose the best. This imperative works well in a static and simplistic framework, but it may fail or vary when 'the best' is changing continuously. This approach has been questioned by a descriptive approach that springing from the complexity theory tries to give a scientific basis to the way in which individuals really choose, showing that those models of human nature is routinely falsified by experiments since people are neither selfish nor rational. Thus inductive rules of thumb are usually implemented in order to make decisions in the presence of incomplete and heterogeneous information sets.
Author |
: Richard Harper |
Publisher |
: John Wiley & Sons |
Total Pages |
: 280 |
Release |
: 2017-09-05 |
ISBN-10 |
: 9780745683881 |
ISBN-13 |
: 0745683886 |
Rating |
: 4/5 (81 Downloads) |
Synopsis Choice by : Richard Harper
We make decisions every day. Yet we are sometimes perplexed by these decisions and the decisions of others. To complicate things further, we live in an age where there are more things to choose from than ever before the Internet is transforming our choices and making us more accountable for them: what we choose is recorded, modelled and used to predict our future behaviour. So are we in a position to make better choices today than we were a decade ago? Certainly there are some who believe so. Psychologists claim we are subject to hidden mental processes that lead us to one thing rather than another; economists offer predictions about what people will buy; and some philosophers claim that our choices echo our evolutionary past. Are these claims merited? Do they reflect the beginnings of a new science of choice? This book offers a critical overview of these and other claims, showing where they are justified and where they are exaggerated. It will be an essential reference for anyone interested in whether science can help us to understand both the ways people make choices in their everyday lives and how these may be changing.
Author |
: Stephen J. Guastello |
Publisher |
: Springer |
Total Pages |
: 138 |
Release |
: 2015-12-14 |
ISBN-10 |
: 9784431553120 |
ISBN-13 |
: 4431553126 |
Rating |
: 4/5 (20 Downloads) |
Synopsis Cognitive Workload and Fatigue in Financial Decision Making by : Stephen J. Guastello
This book presents new theory and empirical studies on the roles of cognitive workload and fatigue on repeated financial decisions. The mathematical models that are developed here utilize two cusp catastrophe functions for discontinuous changes in performance and integrate objective measures of workload, subjective experiences, and individual differences among the decision makers. Additional nonlinear dynamical processes are examined with regard to persistence and antipersistence in decisions, entropy, further explanations of overall performance, and the identification of risk-optimization profiles for long sequences of decisions.
Author |
: Barry Schwartz |
Publisher |
: Harper Collins |
Total Pages |
: 308 |
Release |
: 2009-10-13 |
ISBN-10 |
: 9780061748998 |
ISBN-13 |
: 0061748994 |
Rating |
: 4/5 (98 Downloads) |
Synopsis The Paradox of Choice by : Barry Schwartz
Whether we're buying a pair of jeans, ordering a cup of coffee, selecting a long-distance carrier, applying to college, choosing a doctor, or setting up a 401(k), everyday decisions—both big and small—have become increasingly complex due to the overwhelming abundance of choice with which we are presented. As Americans, we assume that more choice means better options and greater satisfaction. But beware of excessive choice: choice overload can make you question the decisions you make before you even make them, it can set you up for unrealistically high expectations, and it can make you blame yourself for any and all failures. In the long run, this can lead to decision-making paralysis, anxiety, and perpetual stress. And, in a culture that tells us that there is no excuse for falling short of perfection when your options are limitless, too much choice can lead to clinical depression. In The Paradox of Choice, Barry Schwartz explains at what point choice—the hallmark of individual freedom and self-determination that we so cherish—becomes detrimental to our psychological and emotional well-being. In accessible, engaging, and anecdotal prose, Schwartz shows how the dramatic explosion in choice—from the mundane to the profound challenges of balancing career, family, and individual needs—has paradoxically become a problem instead of a solution. Schwartz also shows how our obsession with choice encourages us to seek that which makes us feel worse. By synthesizing current research in the social sciences, Schwartz makes the counter intuitive case that eliminating choices can greatly reduce the stress, anxiety, and busyness of our lives. He offers eleven practical steps on how to limit choices to a manageable number, have the discipline to focus on those that are important and ignore the rest, and ultimately derive greater satisfaction from the choices you have to make.
Author |
: Steen Leleur |
Publisher |
: Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages |
: 176 |
Release |
: 2012-02-09 |
ISBN-10 |
: 9781447124900 |
ISBN-13 |
: 1447124901 |
Rating |
: 4/5 (00 Downloads) |
Synopsis Complex Strategic Choices by : Steen Leleur
Effective decision making requires a clear methodology, particularly in complex, globally relevant situations. Institutions and companies in all disciplines and sectors are faced with increasingly multi-faceted areas of uncertainty which cannot always be effectively handled by traditional strategies. Complex Strategic Choices provides clear principles and methods which can guide and support strategic decision to face modern challenges. By considering ways in which planning practices can be renewed and exploring the possibilities for acquiring awareness and tools to add value to strategic decision making, Complex Strategic Choices presents a methodology which is further illustrated by a number of case studies and example applications. Dr. Techn. Steen Leleur has adapted previously established research based on feedback and input from various conferences, journals and students resulting in new material stemming from and focusing on practical application of systemic planning. The outcome is a coherent and flexible approach named systemic planning. The inclusion of both the theoretical and practical aspects of systemic planning makes this book a key resource for researchers and students in the field of planning and decision analysis as well as practitioners dealing with strategic analysis and decision making. More broadly, Complex Strategic Choices acts as guide for professionals and students involved in complex planning tasks across several fields such as business and engineering.
Author |
: Frédéric Abergel |
Publisher |
: Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages |
: 316 |
Release |
: 2011-04-06 |
ISBN-10 |
: 9788847017665 |
ISBN-13 |
: 8847017661 |
Rating |
: 4/5 (65 Downloads) |
Synopsis Econophysics of Order-driven Markets by : Frédéric Abergel
The primary goal of the book is to present the ideas and research findings of active researchers from various communities (physicists, economists, mathematicians, financial engineers) working in the field of "Econophysics", who have undertaken the task of modelling and analyzing order-driven markets. Of primary interest in these studies are the mechanisms leading to the statistical regularities ("stylized facts") of price statistics. Results pertaining to other important issues such as market impact, the profitability of trading strategies, or mathematical models for microstructure effects, are also presented. Several leading researchers in these fields report on their recent work and also review the contemporary literature. Some historical perspectives, comments and debates on recent issues in Econophysics research are also included.
Author |
: K. Vela Velupillai |
Publisher |
: Routledge |
Total Pages |
: 514 |
Release |
: 2012-07-26 |
ISBN-10 |
: 9781134253364 |
ISBN-13 |
: 1134253362 |
Rating |
: 4/5 (64 Downloads) |
Synopsis Computable Foundations for Economics by : K. Vela Velupillai
Computable Foundations for Economics is a unified collection of essays, some of which are published here for the first time and all of which have been updated for this book, on an approach to economic theory from the point of view of algorithmic mathematics. By algorithmic mathematics the author means computability theory and constructive mathematics. This is in contrast to orthodox mathematical economics and game theory, which are formalised with the mathematics of real analysis, underpinned by what is called the ZFC formalism, i.e., set theory with the axiom of choice. This reliance on ordinary real analysis and the ZFC system makes economic theory in its current mathematical mode completely non-algorithmic, which means it is numerically meaningless. The book provides a systematic attempt to dissect and expose the non-algorithmic content of orthodox mathematical economics and game theory and suggests a reformalization on the basis of a strictly rigorous algorithmic mathematics. This removes the current schizophrenia in mathematical economics and game theory, where theory is entirely divorced from algorithmic applicability – for experimental and computational exercises. The chapters demonstrate the uncomputability and non-constructivity of core areas of general equilibrium theory, game theory and recursive macroeconomics. The book also provides a fresh look at the kind of behavioural economics that lies behind Herbert Simon’s work, and resurrects a role for the noble classical traditions of induction and verification, viewed and formalised, now, algorithmically. It will therefore be of particular interest to postgraduate students and researchers in algorithmic economics, game theory and classical behavioural economics.
Author |
: Dr. Javaid R. Khwaja |
Publisher |
: iUniverse |
Total Pages |
: 593 |
Release |
: 2013-10-01 |
ISBN-10 |
: 9781475997408 |
ISBN-13 |
: 147599740X |
Rating |
: 4/5 (08 Downloads) |
Synopsis Toward a General Theory of Exchange: Strategic Decisions and Complexity by : Dr. Javaid R. Khwaja
The new economy, under the impetus of the ever-widening outreach of the Internet, is undergoing a transition. In the meantime, theres also been a shift to the information paradigm, with its emphasis on lack of foresight. These processes have almost completely supplanted the concept of market that was once one of the most cardinal features of conventional economic theory. In Toward a General Theory of Exchange: Strategic Decisions and Complexity, author Dr. Javaid R. Khwaja traces the slow melting of the market, the most ubiquitous contraption and the summum bonum of economic science, as an organized manifestation of complexity, with its wide-ranging impact on the flow of funds. Using the historical background of economic theories, this study blends the interdisciplinary range and fills the vacuum that has existed among current conventional economic theory, the theory of strategic decision making, actor-network theory, the domain of law and economics, and the science of complexity. An observer of economic development for several decades, Khwaja shows the relationship between technology and economics and how it affects social exchanges and trends.
Author |
: Brian J. Loasby |
Publisher |
: CUP Archive |
Total Pages |
: 266 |
Release |
: 1976-04-15 |
ISBN-10 |
: 0521210658 |
ISBN-13 |
: 9780521210652 |
Rating |
: 4/5 (58 Downloads) |
Synopsis Choice, Complexity and Ignorance by : Brian J. Loasby
Author |
: Anirban Chakraborti |
Publisher |
: Springer Nature |
Total Pages |
: 251 |
Release |
: 2023-10-23 |
ISBN-10 |
: 9783031388330 |
ISBN-13 |
: 303138833X |
Rating |
: 4/5 (30 Downloads) |
Synopsis Quantum Decision Theory and Complexity Modelling in Economics and Public Policy by : Anirban Chakraborti
This book is an outcome of the interdisciplinary conference held at OP Jindal Global University (Quantum Decision-making and Complexity modeling, and their possible applications in social sciences- economics, finance and public policy). The volume builds upon the emerging fields of Econophysics, Complexity theory and Quantum like modelling in cognition and social sciences, and their plausible applications in economics and public policy. There can be deep linkages between the micro, meso and macro scales at which these paradigms operate. In this data-driven age, greater amounts of information, along with the facility to harvest, sort and process said information, have permitted an expansion of the capability to study a society’s various factors to a degree of detail and inclusiveness that has never before been available to researchers. As a result, an increasing number of throughlines is being discovered, revealing heretofore unknown connections between various disciplines and enhancing the study of such societal tropes as finance, language, shared behavior, and many others. As the reader will see, with clearer understanding of the interconnectedness of society’s assorted parts comes a clearer understanding of the society as a whole. We have received critical thoughts from noted experts in social and natural sciences to explore possible interconnections. The editors of this book earnestly hope that the critical reviews presented in this volume will stimulate further scholarly interest, but also interest among policy practitioners for the purpose of exploring possibilities for creating a new paradigm for comprehending pressing issues of deep uncertainty and emergence in social dynamics.