Alrak, a brutal barbarian king invades Catawissa. To satisfy his greed for power and wealth, he enslaves the people, confiscates their land and extracts high levies that drive them into poverty and despair. To ensure his control, the King's warlords are given positions of power over vast estates providing little opportunity for the people to rebel. Charles and Louise Tillsbury and their son Jonathan who were once prospers farmers have become serfs on their own land where they manage to eke out a living from what little the king does not take. But the King has ambitions to conquer new lands. To pay for the King's new levies, Jonathan is forced to travel to the city to find work as an apprentice. On his journey, Jonathan discovers an Urn that has evil as well as wonderful powers. It is the evil of the Urn that adds to the despair and captures Jonathan and separates him from his family and his childhood sweetheart, Elizabeth. But it is also the fortunes of the Urn that provide the creative opportunity that brings Jonathan and his family together again. Struggling for his freedom, it takes all of Jonathan's imagination and cunning to use the Urn to receive a gift that the Urn has no power to give. This gift not only changed the lives of Jonathan and his parents, but also that of the King and the people of Catawissa.

Poetry. Women's Studies. Andrea Rexilius' SISTER URN is a requiem both intimate and broad in scale, memorializing the life of a sister cut short and the unraveling aftereffects of the anthropocene, "difficult to pin down in objects, and therefore unnamable." Here, poetry is an act not only of holding space for grief but also for restitching what has split or frayed into a raw-edged resolution: "When the future is missing, I will reside in the letter I. I will abide by it, even if it topples over." "Andrea Rexilius' brilliant SISTER URN presses us against the afterlife, and, in radiant revelations, achieves, as if in living diorama, the body as an epistle of love." --J. Michael Martinez. "Rexilius leads us into that hemisphere long darkened by despair while holding the small illuminations of this music: 'We blank our voices / going forward into the night. Uvula as lantern.''--Carolina Ebeid

In 1995, the People’s Republic of China resurrected a Qing-era law mandating that the reincarnations of prominent Tibetan Buddhist monks be identified by drawing lots from a golden urn. The Chinese Communist Party hoped to limit the ability of the Dalai Lama and the Tibetan government-in-exile to independently identify reincarnations. In so doing, they elevated a long-forgotten ceremony into a controversial symbol of Chinese sovereignty in Tibet. In Forging the Golden Urn, Max Oidtmann ventures into the polyglot world of the Qing empire in search of the origins of the golden urn tradition. He seeks to understand the relationship between the Qing state and its most powerful partner in Inner Asia—the Geluk school of Tibetan Buddhism. Why did the Qianlong emperor invent the golden urn lottery in 1792? What ability did the Qing state have to alter Tibetan religious and political traditions? What did this law mean to Qing rulers, their advisors, and Tibetan Buddhists? Working with both the Manchu-language archives of the empire’s colonial bureaucracy and the chronicles of Tibetan elites, Oidtmann traces how a Chinese bureaucratic technology—a lottery for assigning administrative posts—was exported to the Tibetan and Mongolian regions of the Qing empire and transformed into a ritual for identifying and authenticating reincarnations. Forging the Golden Urn sheds new light on how the empire’s frontier officers grappled with matters of sovereignty, faith, and law and reveals the role that Tibetan elites played in the production of new religious traditions in the context of Qing rule.

Life is simple where Ralph lives, up in the Pennines. It's peaceful. Ordinary. Until one day, when out with the sheep, he finds something strange, too strange to be from Earth. The alien grave holds secrets of the past, but also draws Ralph into the middle of an epic war between two alien races, taking place among the stars above his head. Has he thrown his planet into a battle it can't possibly fight? This war has raged for centuries, but perhaps Ralph could hold the key to ending it once and for all.

The Human Microbiota offers a comprehensive review of all human-associated microbial niches in a single volume, focusing on what modern tools in molecular microbiology are revealing about human microbiota, and how specific microbial communities can be associated with either beneficial effects or diseases. An excellent resource for microbiologists, physicians, infectious disease specialists, and others in the field, the book describes the latest research findings and evaluates the most innovative research approaches and technologies. Perspectives from pioneers in human microbial ecology are provided throughout.

Gypsy Rose Lee’s memoir became a New York Times bestseller in 1957, inspiring the 1959 hit musical, two movies, and three revivals. Now a fourth, directed by Arthur Laurents and starring Patti LuPone, is lighting up New York, winning top Broadway theatre awards, including three 2008 Tony Awards, as well as raves from critics and audiences: “No matter how long you live, you’ll never see a more exciting production.” —Terry Teachout, The Wall Street Journal “Watch out, New York! This GYPSY is a wallop-packing show of raw power.” —Ben Brantley, The New York Times “Not your ordinary theater experience. This is the best production of the best damn musical ever.” —Liz Smith, Syndicated Columnist The memoir, which Gypsy began as a series of pieces for The New Yorker, contains photographs and newspaper clippings from her personal scrapbooks and an afterword by her son, Erik Lee Preminger. At turns touching and hilarious, Gypsy describes her childhood trouping across 1920s America through her rise to stardom as The Queen of Burlesque in 1930s New York—where gin came in bathtubs, gangsters were celebrities, and Walter Winchell was king. Gypsy’s story features outrageous characters—among them Broadway’s funny girl, Fanny Brice, who schooled Gypsy in how to be a star; gangster Waxy Gordon, who fixed her teeth; and her indomitable mother, Rose, who lived by her own version of the Golden Rule: “Do unto others … before they do you.”

Uncertainty surrounds every major decision in international politics. Yet there is almost always room for reasonable people to disagree about what that uncertainty entails. No one can reliably predict the outbreak of armed conflict, forecast economic recessions, anticipate terrorist attacks, or estimate the countless other risks that shape foreign policy choices. Many scholars and practitioners therefore believe that it is better to keep foreign policy debates focused on the facts - that it is, at best, a waste of time to debate uncertain judgments that will often prove to be wrong. In War and Chance, Jeffrey A. Friedman shows how foreign policy officials often try to avoid the challenge of assessing uncertainty, and argues that this behavior undermines high-stakes decision making. Drawing on an innovative combination of historical and experimental evidence, he explains how foreign policy analysts can assess uncertainty in a manner that is theoretically coherent, empirically meaningful, politically defensible, practically useful, and sometimes logically necessary for making sound choices. Each of these claims contradicts widespread skepticism about the value of probabilistic reasoning in international politics, and shows how placing greater emphasis on assessing uncertainty can improve nearly any foreign policy debate. A clear-eyed examination of the logic, psychology, and politics of assessing uncertainty, War and Chance provides scholars and practitioners with new foundations for understanding one of the most controversial elements of foreign policy discourse.

This book is a translation of the third edition of the well accepted German textbook 'Stochastik', which presents the fundamental ideas and results of both probability theory and statistics, and comprises the material of a one-year course. The stochastic concepts, models and methods are motivated by examples and problems and then developed and analysed systematically.

Presents a firm mathematical basis for the use of response-adaptive randomization procedures in practice The Theory of Response-Adaptive Randomization in Clinical Trials is the result of the authors' ten-year collaboration as well as their collaborations with other researchers in investigating the important questions regarding response-adaptive randomization in a rigorous mathematical framework. Response-adaptive allocation has a long history in biostatistics literature; however, largely due to the disastrous ECMO trial in the early 1980s, there is a general reluctance to use these procedures. This timely book represents a mathematically rigorous subdiscipline of experimental design involving randomization and answers fundamental questions, including: How does response-adaptive randomization affect power? Can standard inferential tests be applied following response-adaptive randomization? What is the effect of delayed response? Which procedure is most appropriate and how can "most appropriate" be quantified? How can heterogeneity of the patient population be incorporated? Can response-adaptive randomization be performed with more than two treatments or with continuous responses? The answers to these questions communicate a thorough understanding of the asymptotic properties of each procedure discussed, including asymptotic normality, consistency, and asymptotic variance of the induced allocation. Topical coverage includes: The relationship between power and response-adaptive randomization The general result for determining asymptotically best procedures Procedures based on urn models Procedures based on sequential estimation Implications for the practice of clinical trials Useful for graduate students in mathematics, statistics, and biostatistics as well as researchers and industrial and academic biostatisticians, this book offers a rigorous treatment of the subject in order to find the optimal procedure to use in practice.